Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 12.016842 13.465099 15.032900 16.858493 18.928728 21.206757 23.907824
2025-05-04 10.136872 12.131840 14.450991 17.355493 20.908833 25.130837 30.551869
2025-05-11 8.442618 10.700463 13.494175 17.226318 22.113541 28.339255 36.940361
2025-05-18 7.142244 9.530348 12.656298 17.085492 23.260650 31.654228 44.079546
2025-05-25 6.120881 8.556327 11.911414 16.929026 24.342589 35.049814 51.970834
2025-06-01 5.334244 7.779901 11.310603 16.861221 25.518650 38.757671 61.023642
2025-06-08 4.712646 7.146086 10.814012 16.854124 26.765152 42.761988 71.314034
2025-06-15 4.324970 6.805532 10.701720 17.410658 28.974323 48.651004 85.896521
2025-06-22 3.863898 6.283430 10.226059 17.292996 30.028770 52.770576 98.214174
2025-06-29 3.423743 5.735954 9.631592 16.875263 30.476001 55.872729 109.259458
2025-07-06 3.082583 5.311441 9.187092 16.649681 31.222714 59.633855 122.374787
2025-07-13 2.899775 5.139867 9.161404 17.184932 33.496164 66.741100 144.017169
2025-07-20 2.726355 4.970426 9.129504 17.728743 35.935124 74.759129 169.878601
2025-07-27 2.535087 4.744366 8.962537 17.981004 37.822097 81.992002 195.814449
2025-08-03 2.302772 4.411688 8.547030 17.659450 38.417259 86.478378 216.219523
2025-08-10 2.103376 4.120835 8.179179 17.385755 39.076674 91.255905 238.688355
2025-08-17 1.929521 3.861802 7.844982 17.137269 39.754915 96.224793 263.074922
2025-08-24 1.785222 3.647808 7.579729 17.006650 40.698220 102.063751 291.633008
2025-08-31 1.662571 3.466091 7.362309 16.956208 41.836255 108.659290 324.426147
2025-09-07 1.594847 3.396097 7.383694 17.485030 44.574370 120.221554 376.470603
2025-09-14 1.486240 3.223057 7.149946 17.344984 45.495809 126.835814 414.271364
2025-09-21 1.369172 3.018523 6.819574 16.910977 45.529050 130.851028 444.380978
2025-09-28 1.275629 2.858842 6.577714 16.674576 46.087204 136.600862 482.714540